Thursday, December 23, 2010

CNBC - 2011 CRE Outlook




There were two phrases you had to throw around in 2010 if you wanted to sound cool: Will Commercial Real Estate be the "next shoe to drop" and how we are experiencing a "bifurcated market". Maria at CNBC mentions both in this recent interview with Hessam Nadji of Marcus & Millichap Research and Advisory Services and Neal Elkin of Real Estate Analytics. Here are some highlights:

  • The Big Drop: CRE prices went 42% since peak from 07 through 09 creating a great basis for investors heading into '10.
  • Class A trophy asset up 40% since summer: There really was only an appetite for proven assets in proven markets. With large pools of institutional money on the sideline, Blue chip assets appreciated substantially in 2010.
  • Secondary assets, in tertiary markets discounted: There were actuall discounts to really weak properties, but no real desire for the mid tier assets.
  • Projections: There will be a broadening of the buying appetite for the B and B- assets in 2011 as interest rates still low and risk aversion begins to fade

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